Le Havre (K) 3-3 Montpellier (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.97
Over 2.5
41%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
29%
X/X
17%
2/1
10%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+3.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
47%
+12.0pp
41%
Over 2.5
53%
-12.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.3pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Le Havre (K) EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Montpellier (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +38% / +38%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
323 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 402 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.0
Crosses 19.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Le Havre (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Montpellier (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 2
15.12.2023 Montpellier (K) Montpellier (K) 2-1 HT 1-0 Le Havre (K) Le Havre (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Le Havre (K)
3-3
AWAY Montpellier (K)
2.01 xG 1.70
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
266 Passes 272
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Le Havre (K) vs Montpellier (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Le Havre (K) and Montpellier (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Le Havre (K) had 51% of the ball to Montpellier (K)'s 49%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.01 to 1.70.

What was the final score of Le Havre (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Le Havre (K) 3-3 Montpellier (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Le Havre (K) vs Montpellier (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montpellier (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Le Havre (K) 35%, draw 28%, Montpellier (K) 37%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Montpellier (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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