Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 Maritzburg United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Cup, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.18
Draw
23%
5.71
Away
15%
12.05
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.6
No
51%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.75
2-3 Goals
44%
1.92
4-5 Goals
25%
2.83
6+ Goals
10%
7.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
80%
-17.5pp
23%
Draw
14%
+8.7pp
14%
Away Win
6%
+8.9pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.0pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
34%
+14.3pp
51%
BTTS No
66%
-14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Maritzburg United EU Bookmakers 8%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-57% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
537 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 71%
36.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
39.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Maritzburg United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.10 xG 0.66
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
436 Passes 251
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
28 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2022 Maritzburg United Maritzburg United 0-5 HT 0-3 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
05.03.2022 Maritzburg United Maritzburg United 2-1 HT 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
03.11.2021 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 0-0 Maritzburg United Maritzburg United GAFPSL
05.05.2021 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 HT 1-0 Maritzburg United Maritzburg United GAFPSL
05.12.2020 Maritzburg United Maritzburg United 1-1 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
21.08.2020 Maritzburg United Maritzburg United 2-2 HT 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
2-0
AWAY Maritzburg United
72% Ball Possession 28%
18 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mamelodi Sundowns vs Maritzburg United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns beat Maritzburg United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 72% of the ball to Maritzburg United's 28%, shots finished 18-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 0.83 for Maritzburg United.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs Maritzburg United?

Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 Maritzburg United in the South Afrika - Cup on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs Maritzburg United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 62%, draw 23%, Maritzburg United 14%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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