NEROCA 0-2 Mohammedan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India I-League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.3
Draw
24%
4.95
Away
22%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
Over
53%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
50%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
11%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
54%
Home Win
72%
-18.4pp
24%
Draw
17%
+6.8pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NEROCA The Market 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Mohammedan The Market 14%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-33% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
368 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NEROCA
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Mohammedan
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
23.11.2022 Mohammedan Mohammedan 3-1 HT 1-0 NEROCA NEROCA HİND
30.04.2022 Mohammedan Mohammedan 2-0 HT 1-0 NEROCA NEROCA HİND
18.04.2022 NEROCA NEROCA 1-1 HT 1-1 Mohammedan Mohammedan HİND
POST-MATCH NEROCA vs Mohammedan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mohammedan beat NEROCA 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was NEROCA at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mohammedan led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for NEROCA and 2.00 for Mohammedan.

What was the final score of NEROCA vs Mohammedan?

NEROCA 0-2 Mohammedan in the India I-League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NEROCA vs Mohammedan?

Before kick-off our model rated a NEROCA win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split NEROCA 54%, draw 24%, Mohammedan 22%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (NEROCA) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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17 Mar 2024
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