17/03/2024
·
13:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Rosenborg vs Nardo Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
39%
4-5
23%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
46%
Home Win
34%
23%
Draw
25%
31%
Away Win
41%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Rosenborg v Nardo — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Rosenborg
The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY
Nardo
The Market 45%
+55% /
+55%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+109%
/
-37%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
13
Total Shots
10
6
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
252 · 72%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
434 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Rosenborg vs Nardo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Rosenborg got the better of Nardo 2-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Rosenborg as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Rosenborg vs Nardo?
Rosenborg 2-0 Nardo in the Friendlies on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Rosenborg vs Nardo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg 46%, draw 23%, Nardo 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosenborg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Rosenborg)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced?
Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself?
Open Match Studio →
HAZ
More Friendlies
17 Mar 2024