Istra 1961 0-0 HNK Gorica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 1. HNL, 17 Mar 2024

Istra 1961
0-0 HT 0-0
HNK Gorica
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Croatia - 1. HNL – 2025/2026

Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.54
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.66
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+2.9pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.5pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.8pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.5pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Istra 1961 v HNK Gorica — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Istra 1961 EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY HNK Gorica EU Bookmakers 29%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.20/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.26
+1% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
17.3 Crosses 15.3
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9

Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Istra 1961
3W-1D-2L
AWAY HNK Gorica
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.36 xG 1.27
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
394 Passes 231
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 17
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.12.2023 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-0 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
23.09.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 0-1 HT 0-1 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
13.05.2023 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-0 HT 1-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
10.03.2023 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 5-4 HT 1-2 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR
04.11.2022 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 1-0 HT 0-0 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica HIR
26.08.2022 HNK Gorica HNK Gorica 0-2 HT 0-0 Istra 1961 Istra 1961 HIR

Istra 1961 0-0 HNK Gorica — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Istra 1961
0-0
AWAY HNK Gorica
1.23 xG 0.32
64% Ball Possession 36%
15 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
464 Passes 212
85% Pass Accuracy 70%
22 Box Touches 10
23 Crosses 9
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Istra 1961 and HNK Gorica fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Istra 1961 at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Istra 1961 had 64% of the ball to HNK Gorica's 36%, shots finished 15-7, expected goals 1.23 to 0.32.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Istra 1961 had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Istra 1961 and 1.00 for HNK Gorica.

What was the final score of Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica?

Istra 1961 0-0 HNK Gorica in the Croatia - 1. HNL on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Istra 1961 vs HNK Gorica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Istra 1961 win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Istra 1961 50%, draw 26%, HNK Gorica 24%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Istra 1961) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Istra 1961) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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