Al Gharafa 3-0 Al Rayyan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.89
Over 2.5
61%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.38
No
42%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.66
2-3 Goals
34%
2.14
4-5 Goals
30%
2.5
6+ Goals
16%
5.11
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
31%
+8.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
69%
-8.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.1pp
42%
BTTS No
32%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Gharafa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Rayyan EU Bookmakers 39%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -12%
1.94/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/2.80
-11% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
375 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 77%
30.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
12.8 Crosses 12.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Gharafa
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Rayyan
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
1.66 xG 1.88
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
247 Passes 388
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
29 Box Touches 39
16 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2023 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 3-4 HT 2-1 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
07.10.2023 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KATYK
08.05.2023 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan 4-1 HT 1-0 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa KAT
24.01.2023 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
20.09.2022 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 4-3 HT 1-2 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KATYK
24.02.2022 Al Gharafa Al Gharafa 3-2 HT 0-1 Al Rayyan Al Rayyan KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Gharafa
3-0
AWAY Al Rayyan
1.30 xG 2.34
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 8
290 Passes 422
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
12 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Gharafa vs Al Rayyan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Gharafa swept aside Al Rayyan 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (41% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; Al Gharafa found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (58%) missed.

On the day, Al Gharafa had 42% of the ball to Al Rayyan's 58%, shots finished 10-24, expected goals 1.30 to 2.34 — on chances, Al Rayyan could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Gharafa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Al Gharafa and 2.50 for Al Rayyan.

What was the final score of Al Gharafa vs Al Rayyan?

Al Gharafa 3-0 Al Rayyan in the Qatar League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Gharafa vs Al Rayyan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Gharafa 41%, draw 23%, Al Rayyan 37%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Gharafa), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Gharafa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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