17/03/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
2-1
Alisontia Steinsel vs Koeppchen Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
No
42%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
44%
4-5
23%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
39%
Home Win
53%
26%
Draw
24%
35%
Away Win
23%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alisontia Steinsel v Koeppchen — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Alisontia Steinsel
The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Koeppchen
The Market 26%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
55%
Ball Possession
45%
16
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Target
5
6
Corners
4
375 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
272 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Alisontia Steinsel vs Koeppchen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Alisontia Steinsel got the better of Koeppchen 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and on the day Alisontia Steinsel made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Alisontia Steinsel vs Koeppchen?
Alisontia Steinsel 2-0 Koeppchen in the Luxembourg - Onur League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alisontia Steinsel vs Koeppchen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alisontia Steinsel win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Alisontia Steinsel 39%, draw 26%, Koeppchen 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alisontia Steinsel), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Alisontia Steinsel)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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LÜKOL
More Luxembourg - Onur League
17 Mar 2024