Hostert 4-0 Avenir Beggen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Luxembourg - Onur League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.18
Draw
18%
4.95
Away Pick
66%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
Over
61%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1
12%
2-3
47%
4-5
31%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
4%
X/2
13%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
44%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Avenir Beggen win — 66%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
16%
Home Win
11%
+4.7pp
18%
Draw
17%
+0.1pp
66%
Away Win
71%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hostert The Market 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Avenir Beggen The Market 75%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
254 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 472 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Hostert vs Avenir Beggen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hostert cruised past Avenir Beggen 4-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Avenir Beggen at 66% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Hostert vs Avenir Beggen?

Hostert 4-0 Avenir Beggen in the Luxembourg - Onur League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hostert vs Avenir Beggen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avenir Beggen win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Hostert 16%, draw 18%, Avenir Beggen 66%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Avenir Beggen), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Avenir Beggen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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