FS Jelgava vs FK Tukums 2000 Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FS Jelgava v FK Tukums 2000 — Team-Based Signals
FS Jelgava vs FK Tukums 2000 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
FS Jelgava
LET
2-0
HT 1-0
FK Tukums 2000
LET
2-0
HT 0-0
FS Jelgava
LET
2-2
HT 1-0
FK Tukums 2000
LET
0-0
HT 0-0
FS Jelgava
LET
2-1
HT 0-0
FK Tukums 2000
LET
FS Jelgava 2-3 FK Tukums 2000 — Actual Match Statistics
FK Tukums 2000 nicked a narrow win over FS Jelgava 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and on the day FK Tukums 2000 made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, FS Jelgava had 51% of the ball to FK Tukums 2000's 49%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.86 to 1.24 — the balance of chances actually favoured FS Jelgava.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FS Jelgava had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FS Jelgava and 0.83 for FK Tukums 2000.
What was the final score of FS Jelgava vs FK Tukums 2000?
FS Jelgava 2-3 FK Tukums 2000 in the Latvia - Virsliga on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FS Jelgava vs FK Tukums 2000?
Before kick-off our model rated a FS Jelgava win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split FS Jelgava 36%, draw 29%, FK Tukums 2000 35%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.