17/03/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
3-0
2nd Score
4-0
Szekszard vs Dunaujvaros-Palhalma Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
27%
Draw
21%
20%
Away Win
15%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Szekszard v Dunaujvaros-Palhalma — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Szekszard
EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY
Dunaujvaros-Palhalma
EU Bookmakers 18%
+27% /
+27%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+7%
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
53%
Ball Possession
47%
15
Total Shots
9
6
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
324 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
261 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Szekszard vs Dunaujvaros-Palhalma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Szekszard got the better of Dunaujvaros-Palhalma 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Szekszard as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Szekszard vs Dunaujvaros-Palhalma?
Szekszard 2-0 Dunaujvaros-Palhalma in the Hungary - NB III on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Szekszard vs Dunaujvaros-Palhalma?
Before kick-off our model rated a Szekszard win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Szekszard 53%, draw 27%, Dunaujvaros-Palhalma 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Szekszard), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Szekszard)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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