Pioneros de Cancun 2-4 Cafetaleros de Chiapas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
Over 2.5
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pioneros de Cancun EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Cafetaleros de Chiapas EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +49% / +49%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +27%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
318 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Pioneros de Cancun vs Cafetaleros de Chiapas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cafetaleros de Chiapas beat Pioneros de Cancun 4-2 away from home. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Pioneros de Cancun at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Pioneros de Cancun vs Cafetaleros de Chiapas?

Pioneros de Cancun 2-4 Cafetaleros de Chiapas in the Mexico - Primera A on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pioneros de Cancun vs Cafetaleros de Chiapas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pioneros de Cancun win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Pioneros de Cancun 45%, draw 25%, Cafetaleros de Chiapas 31%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Pioneros de Cancun), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Pioneros de Cancun) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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