Gzira United vs Mosta Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gzira United v Mosta — Team-Based Signals
Gzira United vs Mosta Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-3
HT 0-1
Gzira United
MLTP
1-2
HT 1-1
Mosta
MLTP
0-2
HT 0-1
Gzira United
MLTP
3-4
HT 3-1
Mosta
MLTP
2-2
HT 1-2
Gzira United
MLTP
Gzira United 2-1 Mosta — Actual Match Statistics
Gzira United edged past Mosta 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; Gzira United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Gzira United had 62% of the ball to Mosta's 38%, shots finished 13-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Gzira United and 1.60 for Mosta.
What was the final score of Gzira United vs Mosta?
Gzira United 2-1 Mosta in the Malta - Premier League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gzira United vs Mosta?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gzira United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Gzira United 40%, draw 30%, Mosta 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gzira United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.