CSF Balti 1-0 Milsami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Moldova - National League, 17 Mar 2024

CSF Balti
1-0 HT 1-0
Milsami
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Moldova - National League – 2023/2024

CSF Balti vs Milsami Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+1.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.4pp
36%
Away Win
39%
-3.7pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+6.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-6.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-6.3pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CSF Balti v Milsami — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSF Balti EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Milsami EU Bookmakers 43%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.15/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.37
-83% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -50% / -39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.1

CSF Balti vs Milsami Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSF Balti
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Milsami
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.10.2023 CSF Balti CSF Balti 3-0 HT 0-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
12.08.2023 Milsami Milsami 2-1 HT 2-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
13.05.2023 Milsami Milsami 1-0 HT 0-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
09.04.2023 CSF Balti CSF Balti 2-2 HT 1-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD
01.10.2022 Milsami Milsami 1-0 HT 0-0 CSF Balti CSF Balti MOLD
07.08.2022 CSF Balti CSF Balti 1-1 HT 0-0 Milsami Milsami MOLD

CSF Balti 1-0 Milsami — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSF Balti
1-0
AWAY Milsami
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH CSF Balti vs Milsami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSF Balti squeezed past Milsami 1-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 31% / 36%) promised a tight game; CSF Balti found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CSF Balti had 41% of the ball to Milsami's 59%, shots finished 7-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Milsami led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CSF Balti and 1.17 for Milsami.

What was the final score of CSF Balti vs Milsami?

CSF Balti 1-0 Milsami in the Moldova - National League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSF Balti vs Milsami?

Before kick-off our model rated an Milsami win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split CSF Balti 34%, draw 31%, Milsami 36%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Milsami) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milsami) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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