General Caballero JLM 0-2 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Paraguay - Profesyonel League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.65
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
49%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
12%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+6.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
49%
Away Win
58%
-9.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.3pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME General Caballero JLM EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 62%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
0.70/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.08/0.82
-25% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
242 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 374 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME General Caballero JLM
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Libertad
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2023 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 0-0 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
05.08.2023 Libertad Libertad 0-0 HT 0-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
28.05.2023 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 0-2 HT 0-1 Libertad Libertad PAR
31.03.2023 Libertad Libertad 1-0 HT 0-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
03.10.2022 Libertad Libertad 1-0 HT 0-0 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM PAR
24.07.2022 General Caballero JLM General Caballero JLM 3-2 HT 1-0 Libertad Libertad PAR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME General Caballero JLM
0-2
AWAY Libertad
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH General Caballero JLM vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Libertad got the better of General Caballero JLM 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we said in the preview, our model had Libertad as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, General Caballero JLM had 50% of the ball to Libertad's 50%, shots finished 15-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for General Caballero JLM and 1.00 for Libertad.

What was the final score of General Caballero JLM vs Libertad?

General Caballero JLM 0-2 Libertad in the Paraguay - Profesyonel League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for General Caballero JLM vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated an Libertad win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split General Caballero JLM 25%, draw 27%, Libertad 49%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Libertad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Libertad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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