Diyarbekir Spor 1-2 Karacabey Belediye Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.44
Over 2.5
34%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
12%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-7.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.5pp
66%
Under 2.5
66%
+0.0pp
34%
Over 2.5
34%
-0.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+0.8pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Diyarbekir Spor EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor EU Bookmakers 25%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.80
+45% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / -24%
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
415 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Diyarbekir Spor
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Karacabey Belediye Spor
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-1 HT 0-1 Diyarbekir Spor Diyarbekir Spor S2-B
23.10.2022 Karacabey Belediye Spor Karacabey Belediye Spor 1-0 HT 0-0 Diyarbekir Spor Diyarbekir Spor S2-K
POST-MATCH Diyarbekir Spor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Karacabey Belediye Spor edged past Diyarbekir Spor 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Diyarbekir Spor at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Karacabey Belediye Spor led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Diyarbekir Spor and 1.00 for Karacabey Belediye Spor.

What was the final score of Diyarbekir Spor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Diyarbekir Spor 1-2 Karacabey Belediye Spor in the Turkey - 2nd Division Beyaz Grup on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Diyarbekir Spor vs Karacabey Belediye Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Diyarbekir Spor win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Diyarbekir Spor 41%, draw 28%, Karacabey Belediye Spor 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Diyarbekir Spor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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