17/03/2024
·
19:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Jaraaf vs Goree Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No Pick
57%
Total Goals
0-1
36%
2-3
38%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 57% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH
Home Win
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
55%
Home Win
66%
27%
Draw
22%
18%
Away Win
12%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Jaraaf v Goree — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Jaraaf
The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY
Goree
The Market 15%
-26% /
-26%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+32% /
+32%
0.66/0.66
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.31/0.69
-23%
/
+28%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+77%
/
+38%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
14
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
4
322 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
318 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Jaraaf vs Goree Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Jaraaf
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Goree
1.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Jaraaf vs Goree
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Jaraaf got the better of Goree 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Jaraaf as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
What was the final score of Jaraaf vs Goree?
Jaraaf 2-0 Goree in the Senegal - 1st Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Jaraaf vs Goree?
Before kick-off our model rated a Jaraaf win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Jaraaf 55%, draw 27%, Goree 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jaraaf), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Jaraaf)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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