Samorin 4-0 Dolny Kubin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - 2nd Division, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.2pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.4pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+9.9pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.7pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.7pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samorin EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Dolny Kubin EU Bookmakers 21%
-11% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
2.24/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/2.65
+10% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / -40%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
450 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Samorin
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Dolny Kubin
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
53% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Dolny Kubin Dolny Kubin 4-0 HT 2-0 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
09.04.2023 Samorin Samorin 3-1 HT 1-0 Dolny Kubin Dolny Kubin SLVK2
11.09.2022 Dolny Kubin Dolny Kubin 2-0 HT 2-0 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Samorin
4-0
AWAY Dolny Kubin
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Samorin vs Dolny Kubin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samorin swept aside Dolny Kubin 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Samorin as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Samorin had 56% of the ball to Dolny Kubin's 44%, shots finished 11-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dolny Kubin led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Samorin and 2.33 for Dolny Kubin.

What was the final score of Samorin vs Dolny Kubin?

Samorin 4-0 Dolny Kubin in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samorin vs Dolny Kubin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samorin win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Samorin 50%, draw 23%, Dolny Kubin 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samorin), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Samorin) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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