Stade Tunisien 1-1 Etoile Du Sahel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.38
Draw
37%
2.66
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.28
Over 2.5
27%
3.46
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.6
No
70%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
47%
1.71
2-3 Goals
35%
1.97
4-5 Goals
12%
9.13
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
38%
-5.6pp
37%
Draw
34%
+2.9pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.6pp
73%
Under 2.5
75%
-1.2pp
27%
Over 2.5
25%
+1.2pp
30%
BTTS Yes
34%
-4.2pp
70%
BTTS No
66%
+4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stade Tunisien EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Etoile Du Sahel EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / +146%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
409 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stade Tunisien
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Etoile Du Sahel
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
30.12.2023 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 0-0 HT 0-0 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TUN1A
07.10.2023 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 0-1 HT 0-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1A
02.02.2023 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 0-2 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1A
05.05.2021 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien 1-0 HT 1-0 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel TUN1
31.01.2021 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 1-0 HT 0-0 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TUN1
10.09.2020 Etoile Du Sahel Etoile Du Sahel 2-1 HT 0-0 Stade Tunisien Stade Tunisien TUN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stade Tunisien
1-1
AWAY Etoile Du Sahel
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stade Tunisien vs Etoile Du Sahel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Tunisien and Etoile Du Sahel couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 37% / 30% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (73%) landed while no to both teams scoring (70%) missed.

On the day, Stade Tunisien had 40% of the ball to Etoile Du Sahel's 60%, shots finished 8-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Etoile Du Sahel led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Stade Tunisien and 1.00 for Etoile Du Sahel.

What was the final score of Stade Tunisien vs Etoile Du Sahel?

Stade Tunisien 1-1 Etoile Du Sahel in the Tunisia - 1st Division Yükselme / Düşme on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stade Tunisien vs Etoile Du Sahel?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stade Tunisien 33%, draw 37%, Etoile Du Sahel 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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