Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 Veres Rivne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
25%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.82
No
59%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+6.2pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
25%
Away Win
31%
-5.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.9pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Veres Rivne EU Bookmakers 34%
-13% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -1%
1.03/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.14
-13% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chornomorets Odessa
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Veres Rivne
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.09.2023 Veres Rivne Veres Rivne 3-1 HT 2-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
04.03.2023 Veres Rivne Veres Rivne 1-3 HT 0-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
23.08.2022 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 HT 0-1 Veres Rivne Veres Rivne UKR
18.10.2021 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 HT 0-1 Veres Rivne Veres Rivne UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chornomorets Odessa
0-1
AWAY Veres Rivne
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Chornomorets Odessa vs Veres Rivne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Veres Rivne nicked a narrow win over Chornomorets Odessa 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Chornomorets Odessa at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Chornomorets Odessa had 57% of the ball to Veres Rivne's 43%, shots finished 11-12.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Veres Rivne led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chornomorets Odessa and 1.50 for Veres Rivne.

What was the final score of Chornomorets Odessa vs Veres Rivne?

Chornomorets Odessa 0-1 Veres Rivne in the Ukraine - Premier League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chornomorets Odessa vs Veres Rivne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chornomorets Odessa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Chornomorets Odessa 48%, draw 27%, Veres Rivne 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chornomorets Odessa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chornomorets Odessa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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