Racing Club Montevideo 1-2 CA Penarol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 17 Mar 2024

Racing Club Montevideo
1-2 HT 0-2
CA Penarol
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Racing Club Montevideo vs CA Penarol Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
47%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.99
No
56%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+1.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.0pp
47%
Away Win
51%
-4.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.8pp
56%
BTTS No
54%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Racing Club Montevideo v CA Penarol — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club Montevideo EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 56%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
0.88/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/0.71
-17% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
269 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 72%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6

Racing Club Montevideo vs CA Penarol Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
1W-3D-2L
AWAY CA Penarol
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.12.2023 CA Penarol CA Penarol 1-1 HT 0-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
09.05.2023 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 0-2 HT 0-0 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
17.10.2019 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 3-3 HT 1-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
20.09.2015 CA Penarol CA Penarol 3-1 HT 1-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU
07.06.2015 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo 2-2 HT 0-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
07.12.2014 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-3 HT 2-0 Racing Club Montevideo Racing Club Montevideo URU

Racing Club Montevideo 1-2 CA Penarol — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club Montevideo
1-2
AWAY CA Penarol
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Racing Club Montevideo vs CA Penarol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol squeezed past Racing Club Montevideo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Club Montevideo had 42% of the ball to CA Penarol's 58%, shots finished 8-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Racing Club Montevideo and 2.17 for CA Penarol.

What was the final score of Racing Club Montevideo vs CA Penarol?

Racing Club Montevideo 1-2 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club Montevideo vs CA Penarol?

Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Racing Club Montevideo 24%, draw 29%, CA Penarol 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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