ZESCO United 2-1 Kansanshi Dynamos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Zambiya - Super League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over Pick
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
46%
4-5
19%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 52%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
49%
Home Win
52%
-2.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ZESCO United The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Kansanshi Dynamos The Market 28%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.24/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.06
-11% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -4%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ZESCO United
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Kansanshi Dynamos
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
22.10.2023 Kansanshi Dynamos 1-1 ZESCO United ZESCO United ZAM
12.02.2022 Kansanshi Dynamos 2-0 HT 1-0 ZESCO United ZESCO United ZAM
20.10.2021 ZESCO United ZESCO United 4-0 HT 1-0 Kansanshi Dynamos ZAM
POST-MATCH ZESCO United vs Kansanshi Dynamos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ZESCO United edged past Kansanshi Dynamos 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had ZESCO United as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for ZESCO United and 1.00 for Kansanshi Dynamos.

What was the final score of ZESCO United vs Kansanshi Dynamos?

ZESCO United 2-1 Kansanshi Dynamos in the Zambiya - Super League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ZESCO United vs Kansanshi Dynamos?

Before kick-off our model rated a ZESCO United win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split ZESCO United 49%, draw 24%, Kansanshi Dynamos 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ZESCO United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ZESCO United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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