Freiburg (K) 3-2 Eintracht Frankfurt (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 17 Mar 2025

Freiburg (K)
3-2 HT 1-1
Eintracht Frankfurt (K)
📅17/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2024/2025

Freiburg (K) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.4
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
57%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
32%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Over 2.5 — 59% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
15%
+7.8pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.1pp
57%
Away Win
66%
-8.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.2pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Freiburg (K) v Eintracht Frankfurt (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Freiburg (K) EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt (K) EU Bookmakers 70%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
2.12/2.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/0.95
+150% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -35%
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
199 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 490 · 85%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.5
14.0 Crosses 21.3
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Freiburg (K) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Freiburg (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
38% Ball Possession 62%
2 Total Shots 31
0 Shots on Target 15
2 Corners 9
The Meetings
14.10.2024 Eintracht Frankfurt (K) Eintracht Frankfurt (K) 6-0 HT 1-0 Freiburg (K) Freiburg (K) ALKB

Freiburg (K) 3-2 Eintracht Frankfurt (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Freiburg (K)
3-2
AWAY Eintracht Frankfurt (K)
0.56 xG 2.77
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 9
315 Passes 419
73% Pass Accuracy 78%
11 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 20
POST-MATCH Freiburg (K) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Freiburg (K) squeezed past Eintracht Frankfurt (K) 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Eintracht Frankfurt (K) carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Freiburg (K) had 44% of the ball to Eintracht Frankfurt (K)'s 56%, shots finished 8-16, expected goals 0.56 to 2.77 — on chances, Eintracht Frankfurt (K) could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Freiburg (K) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (K)?

Freiburg (K) 3-2 Eintracht Frankfurt (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Freiburg (K) vs Eintracht Frankfurt (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Eintracht Frankfurt (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Freiburg (K) 23%, draw 20%, Eintracht Frankfurt (K) 57%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eintracht Frankfurt (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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