Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-1 Defensores De Belgrano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 17 Mar 2025

📅17/03/2025 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
37%
2.66
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
Over 2.5
28%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
28%
2.75
No
72%
1.39
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
9%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
4%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.2pp
37%
Draw
34%
+3.2pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-2.0pp
28%
BTTS Yes
32%
-3.7pp
72%
BTTS No
68%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Rio Cuarto EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano EU Bookmakers 26%
+3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +17%
1.08/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.71
-12% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +55%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Defensores De Belgrano
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
04.10.2024 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 0-0 HT 0-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
20.05.2024 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-1 HT 0-1 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
25.09.2023 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-0 HT 0-0 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
13.05.2023 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 1-0 HT 1-0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto ARJPBN
12.03.2022 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 0-2 HT 0-2 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Defensores De Belgrano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto and Defensores De Belgrano shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Estudiantes Rio Cuarto at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (72%) landed while no to both teams scoring (72%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Defensores De Belgrano led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto and 0.80 for Defensores De Belgrano.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 1-1 Defensores De Belgrano in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Rio Cuarto vs Defensores De Belgrano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes Rio Cuarto win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 43%, draw 37%, Defensores De Belgrano 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Estudiantes Rio Cuarto), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Estudiantes Rio Cuarto) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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