Al Wasl Dubai 1-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League Cup, 17 Mar 2025

📅17/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
37%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.76
No
60%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.21
2-3 Goals
43%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.31
6+ Goals
7%
12.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 31% vs market 24.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
52%
-9.7pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.5pp
37%
Away Win
23%
+14.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
53%
-12.6pp
60%
BTTS No
47%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Wasl Dubai EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi EU Bookmakers 26%
+36% / +36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.55/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.86/1.67
+25% / +149% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +46%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
361 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 74%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.8
12.7 Crosses 17.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Wasl Dubai
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.45 xG 1.23
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
264 Passes 431
79% Pass Accuracy 86%
20 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
31.10.2024 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
26.04.2024 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
02.04.2024 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAECK
25.11.2023 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-4 HT 1-1 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE
01.04.2023 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi BAE
29.10.2022 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 2-0 HT 2-0 Al Wasl Dubai Al Wasl Dubai BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Wasl Dubai
1-0
AWAY Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
1.15 xG 1.07
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
268 Passes 313
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Wasl Dubai nicked a narrow win over Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (42% / 21% / 37%) promised a tight game; Al Wasl Dubai found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Wasl Dubai had 46% of the ball to Al Jazira Abu Dhabi's 54%, shots finished 11-20, expected goals 1.15 to 1.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Al Wasl Dubai and 1.67 for Al Jazira Abu Dhabi.

What was the final score of Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi?

Al Wasl Dubai 1-0 Al Jazira Abu Dhabi in the UAE - League Cup on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Wasl Dubai vs Al Jazira Abu Dhabi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Wasl Dubai win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Al Wasl Dubai 42%, draw 21%, Al Jazira Abu Dhabi 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Wasl Dubai), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Wasl Dubai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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