US Chaouia 1-0 MSP Batna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 2nd Division, 17 Mar 2025

📅17/03/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.52
Over 2.5
47%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.67
No
55%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
64%
-2.1pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.1pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+3.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
62%
-9.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
38%
+9.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
33%
+11.4pp
55%
BTTS No
67%
-11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Chaouia EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY MSP Batna EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.69/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.21
+9% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / +36%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
349 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME US Chaouia
1W-1D-0L
AWAY MSP Batna
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
01.11.2024 MSP Batna MSP Batna 0-0 HT 0-0 US Chaouia US Chaouia CZYR2
24.04.2021 US Chaouia US Chaouia 3-1 HT 1-0 MSP Batna MSP Batna CZYR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Chaouia
1-0
AWAY MSP Batna
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 1
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH US Chaouia vs MSP Batna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

US Chaouia squeezed past MSP Batna 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had US Chaouia as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, US Chaouia had 60% of the ball to MSP Batna's 40%, shots finished 14-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, US Chaouia had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for US Chaouia and 0.50 for MSP Batna.

What was the final score of US Chaouia vs MSP Batna?

US Chaouia 1-0 MSP Batna in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Chaouia vs MSP Batna?

Before kick-off our model rated a US Chaouia win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split US Chaouia 61%, draw 23%, MSP Batna 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (US Chaouia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (US Chaouia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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