Flamengo U20 1-1 Palmeiras U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Copa Libertadores U20, 17 Mar 2025

📅17/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.9
Over 2.5
48%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.0pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-2.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.1pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Flamengo U20 EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Palmeiras U20 EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.0
Crosses 22.0
Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Flamengo U20
1-1
AWAY Palmeiras U20
0.97 xG 1.12
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 6
207 Passes 268
71% Pass Accuracy 73%
14 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Flamengo U20 vs Palmeiras U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Flamengo U20 and Palmeiras U20 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 30% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Flamengo U20 had 43% of the ball to Palmeiras U20's 57%, shots finished 13-17, expected goals 0.97 to 1.12.

What was the final score of Flamengo U20 vs Palmeiras U20?

Flamengo U20 1-1 Palmeiras U20 in the Copa Libertadores U20 on 17/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Flamengo U20 vs Palmeiras U20?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palmeiras U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Flamengo U20 34%, draw 30%, Palmeiras U20 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Palmeiras U20) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palmeiras U20) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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