Atletico Atlanta 3-1 Deportivo Maipu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 17 Mar 2026

📅17/03/2026 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
40%
2.77
Away
18%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
Over 2.5
32%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
20%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.4pp
40%
Draw
32%
+7.1pp
18%
Away Win
23%
-4.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.4pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Atlanta EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 26%
+7% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +6%
1.23/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.03
+4% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Atlanta
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Deportivo Maipu
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
04.10.2025 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 0-3 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
01.06.2025 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
18.07.2023 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 1-3 HT 0-1 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
12.03.2023 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
21.05.2022 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
26.09.2021 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 3-2 HT 2-1 Atletico Atlanta Atletico Atlanta ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Atletico Atlanta vs Deportivo Maipu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Atlanta beat Deportivo Maipu 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (42% / 40% / 18%) promised a tight game; Atletico Atlanta found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Maipu led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Atletico Atlanta and 1.67 for Deportivo Maipu.

What was the final score of Atletico Atlanta vs Deportivo Maipu?

Atletico Atlanta 3-1 Deportivo Maipu in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 17/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Atlanta vs Deportivo Maipu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Atlanta win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Atletico Atlanta 42%, draw 40%, Deportivo Maipu 18%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Atlanta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Atlanta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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