Bristol City U21 3-4 Crewe Alexandra U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 17 Mar 2026

📅17/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.39
No
37%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
59%
-2.5pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.8pp
21%
Away Win
21%
-0.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-5.2pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bristol City U21 EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Crewe Alexandra U21 EU Bookmakers 24%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.04/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.45
-17% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +47%
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bristol City U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Crewe Alexandra U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
26.08.2024 Bristol City U21 Bristol City U21 2-0 HT 1-0 Crewe Alexandra U21 Crewe Alexandra U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Bristol City U21 vs Crewe Alexandra U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Crewe Alexandra U21 squeezed past Bristol City U21 4-3 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Bristol City U21 carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Bristol City U21 vs Crewe Alexandra U21?

Bristol City U21 3-4 Crewe Alexandra U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 17/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bristol City U21 vs Crewe Alexandra U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bristol City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Bristol City U21 57%, draw 23%, Crewe Alexandra U21 21%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bristol City U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bristol City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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