Chelsea (K) 3-0 Aston Villa (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 17 Apr 2024

Chelsea (K)
3-0 HT 2-0
Aston Villa (K)
📅17/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✓ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2023/2024

Chelsea (K) vs Aston Villa (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.22
Draw
22%
6.26
Away
17%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.96
Over 2.5
57%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
78%
-16.6pp
22%
Draw
13%
+8.8pp
17%
Away Win
9%
+7.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
30%
+12.8pp
57%
Over 2.5
70%
-12.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.9pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chelsea (K) v Aston Villa (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelsea (K) EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Aston Villa (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+70% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
519 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
40.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
33.0 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Chelsea (K) 3-0 Aston Villa (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chelsea (K)
3-0
AWAY Aston Villa (K)
2.81 xG 0.23
62% Ball Possession 38%
21 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
13 Corners 1
444 Passes 241
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
51 Box Touches 3
37 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chelsea (K) vs Aston Villa (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea (K) ran out comfortable winners over Aston Villa (K) 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Chelsea (K) as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Chelsea (K) had 62% of the ball to Aston Villa (K)'s 38%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 2.81 to 0.23.

What was the final score of Chelsea (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?

Chelsea (K) 3-0 Aston Villa (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelsea (K) vs Aston Villa (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelsea (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Chelsea (K) 61%, draw 22%, Aston Villa (K) 17%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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