Abdish 1-1 Central Coast Mariners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AFCŞL2, 17 Apr 2024

Abdish
1-1 HT 0-0
Central Coast Mariners
📅17/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
AFCŞL2 – 2025/2026

Abdish vs Central Coast Mariners Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
56%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals
26%
3.06
6+ Goals
9%
9.69
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.12 — our 25% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.19
1/2
9%
21.3
1/X
4%
15.55
X/1
8%
9.82
X/2
25%
4.0
X/X
8%
5.81
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.09
2/X
12%
15.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
21%
-0.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
56%
Away Win
56%
+0.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.8pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Abdish v Central Coast Mariners — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Abdish EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 60%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
265 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Abdish 1-1 Central Coast Mariners — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Abdish
1-1
AWAY Central Coast Mariners
0.47 xG 0.44
66% Ball Possession 34%
14 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 0
524 Passes 222
87% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Box Touches 7
24 Crosses 2
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Abdish vs Central Coast Mariners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Abdish and Central Coast Mariners couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Central Coast Mariners at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Abdish had 66% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners's 34%, shots finished 14-4, expected goals 0.47 to 0.44.

What was the final score of Abdish vs Central Coast Mariners?

Abdish 1-1 Central Coast Mariners in the AFCŞL2 on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Abdish vs Central Coast Mariners?

Before kick-off our model rated an Central Coast Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Abdish 21%, draw 23%, Central Coast Mariners 56%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Central Coast Mariners) ✗ Over 2.5
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