Eimsbütteler TV 5-1 Kilia Kiel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 17 Apr 2024

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
39%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-9.1pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
39%
Away Win
32%
+7.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eimsbütteler TV EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Kilia Kiel EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / -21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eimsbütteler TV
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Kilia Kiel
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
26.08.2023 Kilia Kiel 2-1 HT 0-1 Eimsbütteler TV Eimsbütteler TV ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Eimsbütteler TV vs Kilia Kiel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eimsbütteler TV cruised past Kilia Kiel 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 39% — and on the day Eimsbütteler TV made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

What was the final score of Eimsbütteler TV vs Kilia Kiel?

Eimsbütteler TV 5-1 Kilia Kiel in the Germany - Regional League on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eimsbütteler TV vs Kilia Kiel?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kilia Kiel win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Eimsbütteler TV 32%, draw 28%, Kilia Kiel 39%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kilia Kiel) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kilia Kiel) ✓ BTTS Yes
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