SuperSport United 1-1 Polokwane City — Result, Stats & Model Review (South Afrika - Premier League, 17 Apr 2024)

SuperSport United

1-1 HT 0-0

Polokwane City

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3

Top 2 Score Predictions

1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗

South Afrika - Premier League – 2023/2024

SuperSport United vs Polokwane City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions

Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend

⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.

Match Result

Home

37%

2.18

Draw

32%

3.04

Away

31%

3.08

Under/Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63%

1.54

Over 2.5

37%

2.33

Both Teams to Score

Yes

42%

2.03

58%

1.7

Total Goals

0-1 Goal

37%

2.34

2-3 Goals

36%

1.78

4-5 Goals

18%

5.18

6+ Goals

31.5

Half Time / Full Time

1/1

24%

1/2

1/X

X/1

X/2

11%

X/X

17%

2/1

2/2

13%

2/X

PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine

Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline

✋

Decision

No Bet — Skip This Match

The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.

💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.

Model vs Market — where we differ

iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers

38%

Home Win

42%

-4.4pp

32%

Draw

29%

+2.3pp

31%

Away Win

29%

+2.1pp

63%

Under 2.5

61%

+1.6pp

37%

Over 2.5

39%

-1.6pp

42%

BTTS Yes

45%

-2.9pp

58%

BTTS No

55%

+2.9pp

gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

SuperSport United v Polokwane City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine

iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals

HOME SuperSport United EU Bookmakers 46%

Head to Head

AWAY Polokwane City EU Bookmakers 32%

+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -10%

1.14/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/0.99

+24% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -26%

49% Ball Possession 51%

14 Total Shots 11

5 Shots on Target 4

6 Corners 4

317 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%

17.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9

23.5 Crosses 21.9

1.8 Yellow Cards 1.4

SuperSport United vs Polokwane City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings

Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings

HOME SuperSport United

3W-1D-2L

AWAY Polokwane City

2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83

1.20 xG 1.13

51% Ball Possession 49%

14 Total Shots 13

6 Shots on Target 5

6 Corners 3

267 Passes 241

69% Pass Accuracy 63%

22 Box Touches 13

27 Crosses 15

2 Yellow Cards 2

The Meetings

08.11.2023 Polokwane City

1-1 HT 0-0

SuperSport United GAFPSL

22.10.2023 SuperSport United

1-4 HT 0-2

Polokwane City GAF8K

19.08.2020 SuperSport United

2-0 HT 1-0

Polokwane City GAFPSL

21.09.2019 Polokwane City

3-1 HT 1-0

SuperSport United GAFPSL

25.02.2015 SuperSport United

4-1 HT 2-1

Polokwane City GAFK

10.05.2014 SuperSport United

4-2 HT 1-0

Polokwane City GAFPSL

SuperSport United 1-1 Polokwane City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result

Real recorded figures from this match

HOME SuperSport United

1-1

AWAY Polokwane City

1.09 xG 0.84

39% Ball Possession 61%

6 Total Shots 11

1 Shots on Target 3

1 Corners 3

188 Passes 382

66% Pass Accuracy 80%

7 Box Touches 12

18 Crosses 13

2 Yellow Cards 4

POST-MATCH SuperSport United vs Polokwane City

iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SuperSport United and Polokwane City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (63%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, SuperSport United had 39% of the ball to Polokwane City's 61%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 1.09 to 0.84.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SuperSport United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for SuperSport United and 1.83 for Polokwane City.

What was the final score of SuperSport United vs Polokwane City?

SuperSport United 1-1 Polokwane City in the South Afrika - Premier League on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SuperSport United vs Polokwane City?

Before kick-off our model rated a SuperSport United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split SuperSport United 38%, draw 32%, Polokwane City 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SuperSport United), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SuperSport United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No

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