Cwmbran Celtic 4-1 Trefelin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 17 Apr 2024

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
29%
3.14
Over 2.5
71%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%
1.32
No
29%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+1.0pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+2.6pp
29%
Under 2.5
28%
+0.7pp
71%
Over 2.5
72%
-0.8pp
71%
BTTS Yes
72%
-0.2pp
29%
BTTS No
28%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cwmbran Celtic EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Trefelin EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +13%
1.81/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.80/1.82
-6% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 4
414 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cwmbran Celtic
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Trefelin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
23.09.2023 Trefelin Trefelin 1-2 HT 0-2 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
15.04.2023 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 1-1 HT 0-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
01.10.2022 Trefelin Trefelin 3-1 HT 1-0 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic GALFAW
22.01.2022 Cwmbran Celtic Cwmbran Celtic 2-1 HT 1-0 Trefelin Trefelin GALFAW
POST-MATCH Cwmbran Celtic vs Trefelin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cwmbran Celtic swept aside Trefelin 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Cwmbran Celtic as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (71%), both teams to score (71%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Cwmbran Celtic had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Cwmbran Celtic and 1.50 for Trefelin.

What was the final score of Cwmbran Celtic vs Trefelin?

Cwmbran Celtic 4-1 Trefelin in the Wales - FAW Championship on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cwmbran Celtic vs Trefelin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cwmbran Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cwmbran Celtic 42%, draw 24%, Trefelin 34%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cwmbran Celtic), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cwmbran Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
17 Apr 2024
20:30 Pontardawe Town FC vs Cambrian & Clydach Analysis →