Auda vs BFC Daugavpils Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Auda v BFC Daugavpils — Team-Based Signals
Auda vs BFC Daugavpils Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
BFC Daugavpils
LET
0-2
HT 0-2
Auda
LET
1-4
HT 0-1
Auda
LETK
1-1
HT 0-1
BFC Daugavpils
LET
0-2
HT 0-0
Auda
LET
0-1
HT 0-0
Auda
LET
Auda 1-0 BFC Daugavpils — Actual Match Statistics
Auda nicked a narrow win over BFC Daugavpils 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Auda as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (63%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Auda had 67% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 33%, shots finished 20-6, expected goals 2.53 to 0.29 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Auda's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Auda and 0.33 for BFC Daugavpils.
What was the final score of Auda vs BFC Daugavpils?
Auda 1-0 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Auda vs BFC Daugavpils?
Before kick-off our model rated a Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Auda 52%, draw 24%, BFC Daugavpils 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auda), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.