Al Qaisoma 1-2 Al Faisaly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 17 Apr 2024

📅17/04/2024 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.99
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
39%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
30%
+2.7pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.0pp
38%
Away Win
45%
-6.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.6pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Qaisoma EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Faisaly EU Bookmakers 49%
-17% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.07/1.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.26
-2% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -14%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
258 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Qaisoma
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Faisaly
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
28.11.2023 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 2-1 HT 2-0 Al Qaisoma Al Qaisoma SUUD1
07.03.2023 Al Qaisoma Al Qaisoma 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly SUUD1
12.10.2022 Al Faisaly Al Faisaly 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Qaisoma Al Qaisoma SUUD1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Qaisoma
1-2
AWAY Al Faisaly
39% Ball Possession 61%
22 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Qaisoma vs Al Faisaly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Faisaly squeezed past Al Qaisoma 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 38%) promised a tight game; Al Faisaly found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Qaisoma had 39% of the ball to Al Faisaly's 61%, shots finished 22-18.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Faisaly led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Qaisoma and 1.33 for Al Faisaly.

What was the final score of Al Qaisoma vs Al Faisaly?

Al Qaisoma 1-2 Al Faisaly in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 17/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Qaisoma vs Al Faisaly?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Faisaly win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Al Qaisoma 32%, draw 29%, Al Faisaly 38%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Faisaly), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Faisaly) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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