Shabab Al Ordon 1-3 Aqaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Jordan - Premier League, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
51%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.0
Over
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2-3
36%
4-5
26%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
4%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Shabab Al Ordon win — 51%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
59%
-8.8pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.6pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+5.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+3.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.3pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shabab Al Ordon EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Aqaba EU Bookmakers 21%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +1%
3.03/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/1.88
+50% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
395 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shabab Al Ordon
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aqaba
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2024 Aqaba Aqaba 1-1 Shabab Al Ordon Shabab Al Ordon ÜRD
03.05.2024 Aqaba Aqaba 1-0 Shabab Al Ordon Shabab Al Ordon ÜRD
02.11.2023 Shabab Al Ordon Shabab Al Ordon 0-1 HT 0-0 Aqaba Aqaba ÜRD
10.09.2022 Shabab Al Ordon Shabab Al Ordon 2-0 HT 0-0 Aqaba Aqaba ÜRD
09.05.2022 Aqaba Aqaba 1-1 Shabab Al Ordon Shabab Al Ordon ÜRD
16.10.2021 Shabab Al Ordon Shabab Al Ordon 2-0 HT 1-0 Aqaba Aqaba ÜRD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shabab Al Ordon
1-3
AWAY Aqaba
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
13 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shabab Al Ordon vs Aqaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aqaba got the better of Shabab Al Ordon 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Shabab Al Ordon at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Shabab Al Ordon had 58% of the ball to Aqaba's 42%, shots finished 17-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shabab Al Ordon and 0.67 for Aqaba.

What was the final score of Shabab Al Ordon vs Aqaba?

Shabab Al Ordon 1-3 Aqaba in the Jordan - Premier League on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shabab Al Ordon vs Aqaba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shabab Al Ordon win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Shabab Al Ordon 51%, draw 27%, Aqaba 23%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Shabab Al Ordon) ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →