Bayswater City 4-1 Armadale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
26%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
Over
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
61%
1.38
No
39%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1
19%
2-3
33%
4-5
27%
6+
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
47%
+2.9pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
26%
Away Win
29%
-3.1pp
61%
BTTS Yes
68%
-7.8pp
39%
BTTS No
32%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayswater City EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Armadale EU Bookmakers 32%
+15% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +16%
2.23/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.14/1.67
+23% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +4%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
374 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayswater City
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Armadale
3.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 21
8 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2024 Bayswater City Bayswater City 3-3 HT 1-2 Armadale Armadale AVNPL
16.03.2024 Armadale Armadale 2-2 HT 1-1 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVNPL
15.07.2023 Armadale Armadale 1-6 HT 1-3 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVUSB
13.05.2023 Bayswater City Bayswater City 2-1 HT 0-0 Armadale Armadale AVNPL
16.08.2022 Armadale Armadale 3-5 Bayswater City Bayswater City AVNPL
21.05.2022 Bayswater City Bayswater City 1-1 HT 0-0 Armadale Armadale AVNPL
POST-MATCH Bayswater City vs Armadale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bayswater City cruised past Armadale 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bayswater City as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayswater City had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 3.17 goals for Bayswater City and 1.83 for Armadale.

What was the final score of Bayswater City vs Armadale?

Bayswater City 4-1 Armadale in the Australia - National Premier League on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayswater City vs Armadale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayswater City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Bayswater City 50%, draw 24%, Armadale 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bayswater City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bayswater City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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