Ullensaker / Kisa 1-2 Kjelsas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 17 Apr 2025

📅17/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.84
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.13
2-3 Goals
37%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.46
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.13 — our 27% vs market 18.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+4.9pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.0pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ullensaker / Kisa EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Kjelsas EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / +0%
1.04/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.08
-33% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -34% / +39%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ullensaker / Kisa
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Kjelsas
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2024 Kjelsas Kjelsas 2-0 HT 1-0 Ullensaker / Kisa Ullensaker / Kisa NOR3
25.05.2024 Ullensaker / Kisa Ullensaker / Kisa 0-2 HT 0-2 Kjelsas Kjelsas NOR3
06.08.2022 Kjelsas Kjelsas 2-2 HT 2-1 Ullensaker / Kisa Ullensaker / Kisa NOR3
30.04.2022 Ullensaker / Kisa Ullensaker / Kisa 1-1 HT 0-0 Kjelsas Kjelsas NOR3
02.05.2018 Kjelsas Kjelsas 0-3 HT 0-1 Ullensaker / Kisa Ullensaker / Kisa NOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ullensaker / Kisa
1-2
AWAY Kjelsas
60% Ball Possession 40%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ullensaker / Kisa vs Kjelsas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kjelsas edged past Ullensaker / Kisa 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Kjelsas found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Ullensaker / Kisa had 60% of the ball to Kjelsas's 40%, shots finished 6-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Kjelsas led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Ullensaker / Kisa and 1.40 for Kjelsas.

What was the final score of Ullensaker / Kisa vs Kjelsas?

Ullensaker / Kisa 1-2 Kjelsas in the Norway - 2nd Division on 17/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ullensaker / Kisa vs Kjelsas?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kjelsas win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ullensaker / Kisa 36%, draw 25%, Kjelsas 39%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kjelsas), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kjelsas) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR3 More Norway - 2nd Division
17 Apr 2025
15:00 Grorud IL vs Hönefoss BK Analysis →