Lilla Torg 1-0 IFK Trelleborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
4.65
Draw
17%
4.34
Away
51%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.53
No
48%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
23%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
18%
+13.3pp
17%
Draw
20%
-2.6pp
51%
Away Win
62%
-10.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
61%
-9.3pp
48%
BTTS No
39%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lilla Torg EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Trelleborg EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -11%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 5
248 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 422 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lilla Torg
1-0
AWAY IFK Trelleborg
30% Ball Possession 70%
6 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lilla Torg vs IFK Trelleborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lilla Torg nicked a narrow win over IFK Trelleborg 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was IFK Trelleborg at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Lilla Torg had 30% of the ball to IFK Trelleborg's 70%, shots finished 6-13.

What was the final score of Lilla Torg vs IFK Trelleborg?

Lilla Torg 1-0 IFK Trelleborg in the Sweden - 2nd Division Östra Götaland on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lilla Torg vs IFK Trelleborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an IFK Trelleborg win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Lilla Torg 32%, draw 17%, IFK Trelleborg 51%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (IFK Trelleborg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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