Odisha FC 1-1 Mohammedan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 17 Apr 2026

📅17/04/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
15%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.86
Over 2.5
54%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
4%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
57%
+4.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
15%
Away Win
19%
-4.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.7pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Odisha FC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Mohammedan EU Bookmakers 22%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.60/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.45
+39% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.9
17.1 Crosses 19.1
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Odisha FC
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Mohammedan
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.42 xG 0.96
54% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 8
353 Passes 295
80% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 15
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.02.2025 Odisha FC Odisha FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Mohammedan Mohammedan HİNSL
27.12.2024 Mohammedan Mohammedan 0-0 HT 0-0 Odisha FC Odisha FC HİNSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Odisha FC
1-1
AWAY Mohammedan
0.87 xG 1.56
69% Ball Possession 31%
13 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
368 Passes 124
82% Pass Accuracy 60%
25 Box Touches 15
23 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Odisha FC vs Mohammedan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Odisha FC and Mohammedan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Odisha FC at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Odisha FC had 69% of the ball to Mohammedan's 31%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 0.87 to 1.56.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Odisha FC and 0.00 for Mohammedan.

What was the final score of Odisha FC vs Mohammedan?

Odisha FC 1-1 Mohammedan in the India - Super League on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Odisha FC vs Mohammedan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Odisha FC win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Odisha FC 62%, draw 23%, Mohammedan 15%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Odisha FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Odisha FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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HİNSL More India - Super League
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