Real Madrid U19 1-1 Paris SG U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 17 Apr 2026

Real Madrid U19
1-1 HT 0-1
Paris SG U19
📅17/04/2026 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
UEFA - Youth League – 2025/2026

Real Madrid U19 vs Paris SG U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
17%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.63
Over 2.5
59%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.61
2-3 Goals
38%
1.99
4-5 Goals
31%
2.45
6+ Goals
9%
5.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.09
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1
20%
4.61
X/2
5%
9.49
X/X
15%
6.72
2/1
9%
18.55
2/2
5%
6.3
2/X
3%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
56%
+2.1pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.3pp
17%
Away Win
22%
-5.4pp
41%
Under 2.5
34%
+7.1pp
59%
Over 2.5
66%
-7.1pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.8pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Madrid U19 v Paris SG U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Madrid U19 EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Paris SG U19 EU Bookmakers 26%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
2.15/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/2.20
-13% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
451 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 78%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.5
15.3 Crosses 7.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1

Real Madrid U19 vs Paris SG U19 Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Madrid U19
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Paris SG U19
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
The Meetings
26.11.2019 Real Madrid U19 Real Madrid U19 6-3 HT 1-1 Paris SG U19 Paris SG U19 UEGL
18.09.2019 Paris SG U19 Paris SG U19 1-2 HT 1-0 Real Madrid U19 Real Madrid U19 UEGL

Real Madrid U19 1-1 Paris SG U19 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Madrid U19
1-1
AWAY Paris SG U19
1.31 xG 0.64
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
278 Passes 314
81% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 10
7 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Real Madrid U19 vs Paris SG U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Madrid U19 and Paris SG U19 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Real Madrid U19 at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (60%) landed while over 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Real Madrid U19 had 48% of the ball to Paris SG U19's 52%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.31 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Real Madrid U19 had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for Real Madrid U19 and 2.00 for Paris SG U19.

What was the final score of Real Madrid U19 vs Paris SG U19?

Real Madrid U19 1-1 Paris SG U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 17/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Madrid U19 vs Paris SG U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Madrid U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Real Madrid U19 58%, draw 25%, Paris SG U19 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Real Madrid U19), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Madrid U19) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UEGL More UEFA - Youth League
17 Apr 2026
15:00 Benfica U19 vs Club Brugge U19 Analysis →