Shenzhen Juniors 1-2 Qingdao Red Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup, 17 May 2024

Shenzhen Juniors
1-2 HT 0-0
Qingdao Red Lions
📅17/05/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup – 2024

Shenzhen Juniors vs Qingdao Red Lions Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
2.84
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
46%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.64
Over 2.5
36%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.64
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.45
6+ Goals
6%
23.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.64 — our 35% vs market 31.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
6%
X/2
13%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
32%
-8.7pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.2pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+5.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
57%
+6.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
43%
-6.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.0pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shenzhen Juniors v Qingdao Red Lions — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shenzhen Juniors EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Qingdao Red Lions EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Shenzhen Juniors vs Qingdao Red Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Qingdao Red Lions nicked a narrow win over Shenzhen Juniors 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Qingdao Red Lions as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Shenzhen Juniors vs Qingdao Red Lions?

Shenzhen Juniors 1-2 Qingdao Red Lions in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - FA Cup on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shenzhen Juniors vs Qingdao Red Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Qingdao Red Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Shenzhen Juniors 23%, draw 31%, Qingdao Red Lions 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Qingdao Red Lions) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Qingdao Red Lions) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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