Meizhou Hakka 1-4 Chengdu Qianbao — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 17 May 2024

Meizhou Hakka
1-4 HT 0-1
Chengdu Qianbao
📅17/05/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2024

Meizhou Hakka vs Chengdu Qianbao Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
3.87
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
41%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.16
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.71
6+ Goals
10%
15.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1 EV+ ✗
19%
6.99
1/2
4%
24.45
1/X
7%
15.3
X/1
16%
8.83
X/2
8%
4.0
X/X
10%
4.78
2/1
3%
34.5
2/2
29%
2.32
2/X
4%
14.6
Value flag · 1/1 at 6.99 — our 19% vs market 10.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
22%
+15.4pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.8pp
41%
Away Win
53%
-11.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Meizhou Hakka v Chengdu Qianbao — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meizhou Hakka EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao EU Bookmakers 57%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.64/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.67/1.18
-100% / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -32%
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
210 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 79%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.0
26.0 Crosses 20.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Meizhou Hakka vs Chengdu Qianbao Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meizhou Hakka
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.66 xG 1.02
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
394 Passes 264
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 13
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 3-0 HT 2-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİNSL
07.07.2023 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 3-1 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİNSL
19.12.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 3-0 HT 2-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİNK
11.07.2022 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-2 HT 1-0 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN
20.06.2022 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao 0-0 HT 0-0 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka ÇİN
12.12.2021 Meizhou Hakka Meizhou Hakka 1-2 HT 1-2 Chengdu Qianbao Chengdu Qianbao ÇİN2

Meizhou Hakka 1-4 Chengdu Qianbao — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Meizhou Hakka
1-4
AWAY Chengdu Qianbao
2.58 xG 1.17
68% Ball Possession 32%
20 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
561 Passes 206
88% Pass Accuracy 68%
49 Box Touches 8
24 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Meizhou Hakka vs Chengdu Qianbao
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chengdu Qianbao cruised past Meizhou Hakka 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 21% / 41%) promised a tight game; Chengdu Qianbao found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Meizhou Hakka had 68% of the ball to Chengdu Qianbao's 32%, shots finished 20-9, expected goals 2.58 to 1.17 — on chances, Meizhou Hakka could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chengdu Qianbao led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Meizhou Hakka and 1.83 for Chengdu Qianbao.

What was the final score of Meizhou Hakka vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Meizhou Hakka 1-4 Chengdu Qianbao in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meizhou Hakka vs Chengdu Qianbao?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chengdu Qianbao win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Meizhou Hakka 38%, draw 21%, Chengdu Qianbao 41%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chengdu Qianbao) ✓ Over 2.5
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