Mirandes 1-1 Elche — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 17 May 2024

Mirandes
1-1 HT 0-0
Elche
📅17/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Mirandes vs Elche Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.68
Over 2.5
43%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.73
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.29
6+ Goals
11%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 31% vs market 30.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.89
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
8%
13.95
X/1
13%
6.36
X/2
17%
4.67
X/X
12%
4.11
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
3.16
2/X
7%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.1pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-1.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mirandes v Elche — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mirandes EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Elche EU Bookmakers 45%
+8% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -11%
1.23/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.23
+25% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -22%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
284 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
17.5 Crosses 25.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Mirandes vs Elche Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mirandes
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Elche
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.99 xG 1.61
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
244 Passes 333
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 19
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.12.2023 Elche Elche 0-0 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
07.07.2020 Mirandes Mirandes 1-0 HT 0-0 Elche Elche İS2
03.11.2019 Elche Elche 4-2 HT 2-1 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
13.05.2017 Elche Elche 0-1 HT 0-0 Mirandes Mirandes İS2
03.12.2016 Mirandes Mirandes 1-0 HT 1-0 Elche Elche İS2
06.09.2016 Mirandes Mirandes 2-2 HT 1-1 Elche Elche İSPK

Mirandes 1-1 Elche — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mirandes
1-1
AWAY Elche
0.61 xG 0.85
29% Ball Possession 71%
6 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
154 Passes 531
63% Pass Accuracy 87%
19 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 28
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mirandes vs Elche
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mirandes and Elche couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Mirandes had 29% of the ball to Elche's 71%, shots finished 6-21, expected goals 0.61 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mirandes had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mirandes and 1.00 for Elche.

What was the final score of Mirandes vs Elche?

Mirandes 1-1 Elche in the Spain - 2nd Division on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mirandes vs Elche?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elche win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mirandes 33%, draw 27%, Elche 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Elche), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Elche) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →