Hapoel Nof Hagalil 2-1 Hapoel Om El Fahem — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Liga Leumit, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.42
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
66%
-6.6pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.0pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.3pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hapoel Nof Hagalil EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Om El Fahem EU Bookmakers 18%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.50
+10% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +40%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
446 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hapoel Nof Hagalil
2-1
AWAY Hapoel Om El Fahem
61% Ball Possession 39%
32 Total Shots 8
12 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hapoel Nof Hagalil vs Hapoel Om El Fahem
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Nof Hagalil nicked a narrow win over Hapoel Om El Fahem 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hapoel Nof Hagalil as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hapoel Nof Hagalil had 61% of the ball to Hapoel Om El Fahem's 39%, shots finished 32-8.

What was the final score of Hapoel Nof Hagalil vs Hapoel Om El Fahem?

Hapoel Nof Hagalil 2-1 Hapoel Om El Fahem in the Israel - Liga Leumit on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hapoel Nof Hagalil vs Hapoel Om El Fahem?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hapoel Nof Hagalil win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Hapoel Nof Hagalil 59%, draw 18%, Hapoel Om El Fahem 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hapoel Nof Hagalil), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hapoel Nof Hagalil) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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