Afturelding 1-3 Valur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
5.34
Draw
24%
4.62
Away
42%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.98
Over 2.5
58%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.5
No
49%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
16%
+18.7pp
24%
Draw
18%
+5.7pp
42%
Away Win
66%
-24.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
62%
-11.1pp
49%
BTTS No
38%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Afturelding EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Valur EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +116%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
274 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Afturelding
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Valur
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
13.03.2021 Valur Valur 3-0 HT 1-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Afturelding
1-3
AWAY Valur
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Afturelding vs Valur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur got the better of Afturelding 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Afturelding had 57% of the ball to Valur's 43%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of Afturelding vs Valur?

Afturelding 1-3 Valur in the Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Afturelding vs Valur?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Afturelding 34%, draw 24%, Valur 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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