Orsha 1-1 Ostrovets FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 17 May 2024

Orsha
1-1 HT 1-0
Ostrovets FC
📅17/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Belarus - 1st Division – 2024

Orsha vs Ostrovets FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
42%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.07
Over 2.5
54%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
15%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
42%
Away Win
39%
+2.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Orsha v Ostrovets FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orsha EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Ostrovets FC EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
1.40/1.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/2.37
-11% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -79% / -39%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Orsha vs Ostrovets FC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orsha
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ostrovets FC
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC 4-4 HT 1-1 Orsha Orsha BLR1

Orsha 1-1 Ostrovets FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orsha
1-1
AWAY Ostrovets FC
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Orsha vs Ostrovets FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orsha and Ostrovets FC couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Ostrovets FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Orsha had 55% of the ball to Ostrovets FC's 45%, shots finished 10-15.

What was the final score of Orsha vs Ostrovets FC?

Orsha 1-1 Ostrovets FC in the Belarus - 1st Division on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orsha vs Ostrovets FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ostrovets FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Orsha 31%, draw 28%, Ostrovets FC 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ostrovets FC), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ostrovets FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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