BATE Borisov 1-0 Slavia Mozyr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 17 May 2024

BATE Borisov
1-0 HT 1-0
Slavia Mozyr
📅17/05/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Belarus - Premier League – 2024

BATE Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.7
No
43%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.37
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.52
6+ Goals
11%
13.7
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.52 — our 26% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.1pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
39%
Away Win
40%
-0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
55%
+2.7pp
43%
BTTS No
45%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

BATE Borisov v Slavia Mozyr — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BATE Borisov EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Slavia Mozyr EU Bookmakers 43%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
1.25/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.45
-4% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -23%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
331 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 404 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5

BATE Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME BATE Borisov
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 0-2 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
24.05.2023 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 1-1 HT 1-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
07.08.2022 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov 4-0 HT 2-0 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr BLR
20.03.2022 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 0-3 HT 0-1 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
16.10.2021 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 3-1 HT 0-0 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLR
08.08.2021 Slavia Mozyr Slavia Mozyr 1-2 HT 0-1 BATE Borisov BATE Borisov BLRK

BATE Borisov 1-0 Slavia Mozyr — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME BATE Borisov
1-0
AWAY Slavia Mozyr
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH BATE Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

BATE Borisov edged past Slavia Mozyr 1-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 29% / 39%) promised a tight game; BATE Borisov found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, BATE Borisov had 47% of the ball to Slavia Mozyr's 53%, shots finished 16-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, BATE Borisov had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for BATE Borisov and 0.83 for Slavia Mozyr.

What was the final score of BATE Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr?

BATE Borisov 1-0 Slavia Mozyr in the Belarus - Premier League on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BATE Borisov vs Slavia Mozyr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slavia Mozyr win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split BATE Borisov 32%, draw 29%, Slavia Mozyr 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Slavia Mozyr) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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