Dire Dawa Kenema 0-5 Ethiopian Insurance — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Etiyopya - Premier League, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.56
Over 2.5
33%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.96
No
62%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
3%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.3pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
37%
Away Win
37%
-0.0pp
67%
Under 2.5
60%
+6.3pp
33%
Over 2.5
40%
-6.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
47%
-8.9pp
62%
BTTS No
53%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance EU Bookmakers 40%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
1.00/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/0.00
-17% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dire Dawa Kenema
0-5
AWAY Ethiopian Insurance
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dire Dawa Kenema vs Ethiopian Insurance
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ethiopian Insurance swept aside Dire Dawa Kenema 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Ethiopian Insurance made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (67%) missed.

On the day, Dire Dawa Kenema had 39% of the ball to Ethiopian Insurance's 61%, shots finished 9-14.

What was the final score of Dire Dawa Kenema vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Dire Dawa Kenema 0-5 Ethiopian Insurance in the Etiyopya - Premier League on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dire Dawa Kenema vs Ethiopian Insurance?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ethiopian Insurance win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Dire Dawa Kenema 34%, draw 29%, Ethiopian Insurance 37%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ethiopian Insurance) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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