Nations 1-0 Accra Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gana - Premier League, 17 May 2024

📅17/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
21%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.38
Over 2.5
32%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.6
No
65%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
54%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
21%
Away Win
18%
+2.7pp
68%
Under 2.5
69%
-1.0pp
32%
Over 2.5
31%
+1.0pp
35%
BTTS Yes
34%
+0.6pp
65%
BTTS No
66%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nations EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Accra Lions EU Bookmakers 21%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
3.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.73
+106% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nations
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Accra Lions
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
03.12.2023 Accra Lions 0-1 HT 0-0 Nations GANA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nations
1-0
AWAY Accra Lions
41% Ball Possession 59%
18 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nations vs Accra Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nations edged past Accra Lions 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nations as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Nations had 41% of the ball to Accra Lions's 59%, shots finished 18-6.

What was the final score of Nations vs Accra Lions?

Nations 1-0 Accra Lions in the Gana - Premier League on 17/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nations vs Accra Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nations win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Nations 52%, draw 27%, Accra Lions 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nations), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Nations) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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